Archives for category: Enrollment

Percent increase in spending across the years 

School
Year
Budget % Budget
Increase
Enrollment Per pupil
spending
2004-05 $38,543,225
(calculated)
1,998 $19,290
2005-06 $42,154,726
(calculated)
9.37% 1,959 $21,518
2006-07 $45,691,508
(calculated)
8.39% 1,961 $23,300
2007-08 $48,432,999
(calculated)
6.00% 1,942 $24,939
2008-09 $50,583,424 4.44% 1,888 $26,792
2009-10 $51,009,065 0.84% 1,799 $28,354
2010-11 $49,896,676 -2.23% 1,798 $27,751
2011-12 $50,324,892 0.91% 1,747 $28,806
2012-13 $51,156,000 1.65% 1,801
1,799 (5/10/2013)
$28,435
2013-14 $54,070,000 5.70% 1,801
(estimate)
1783
$30,325
2014-15 $56,294,000 4.1% 1,795 $31,361.56
2015-16 $57,664,000 2.4% 1,760 $32,763.64
  • Average percent increase past 9 years 2004-2005 to 2012-2013: 3.9%
  • Total percent increase in per pupil spending across 10 years’ time: 55.7%
  • Total percent increase in CPI inflation across the same 10 years’ time: 20.2%
  • If spending had risen at the rate of CPI inflation, next year’s budget would be $46,342,246.80
  • Percent decline in students: 9.86%

Student achievement did not rise with spending.

Curriculum quality fell.

Sources (2004-2005 to 2012-2013):

UPDATE 4/23/2016

AND SEE:

NOTE: “Calculated” budget numbers are based in percent-change figures drawn from Budget to Budget Percent Increases/Decreases | 2005-06 thru 2010-11 | page 36 from IUFSD Proposed Budget  March 1, 2011

Enrollment as of 6/10/2013: 1801

No one seems to know why the district had a sudden spike in Kindergarten enrollment this school year (2012-2013).

In any event, 2007 saw the highest number of births in the history of the United States, and those children began entering school last fall.

Then the crash hit, and it’s been downhill ever since. What a calamity our protracted depression has been, in every possible way.

Births: Final
Data
YEAR BIRTHS PERCENT
CHANGE
2006 4,265,555 +3%
2007 4,316,233 +1%
2008 4,247,694 -2%
2009 4,130,665 -3%
2010 3,999,386 -3%
2011 3,953,590 -1%
2012 3,952,841
2013 3,932,181

Final Data for 2006 (NVSS)
Births: Final Data for 2007 (ABSTRACT)
Births: Final Data for 2007 (NVSS)
Births: Final Data for 2008 (NVSS)
Births: Final Data for 2009 (NVSS)
Births: Final Data for 2010 (NVSS)

UPDATE
Recent Trends in Births and Fertility Rates Through June 2011
Births: Final Data for 2011 (NVSS)
Births: Final Data for 2012 (NVSS)
Births: Final Data for 2013 (NVSS)
Births in the United States, 2014

AND SEE:
16 new houses, not 50
Enrollment back to 1978

I received an email the other day suggesting that IUFSD does such a good job educating children with special needs that we have more SPED students than surrounding towns.

Speaking as the parent of two children with special needs, I’ve never heard this view from other parents of SPED kids regardless of where they lived — and given that the special-ed world for kids with severe challenges is quite small, I think I would have heard it if parents of children with disabilities were moving to Irvington in disproportionate numbers.

Below are NYSED data for SPED enrollment in 2011-2012.

In terms of special education, one thing it’s important to look at is how many children are identified as SPED after moving here.

I’ll come back to that later.

District
2011-2012
All Westchester
County districts
Percent of 
Total Public
& Nonpublic
School Students
in Special
Education
Rye City 4.4% 4.4%
Bronxville 6.6%
Bedford 7.9%
Dobbs Ferry 7.3%
Scarsdale 7.9%
Tarrytown 8.0%
Blind Brook 8.1%
Greenburgh 8.3%
White Plains 8.8%
Eastchester 9.4%
Mamaroneck 9.6%
Rye Neck 9.6%
Pocantico Hills 9.8%
New Rochelle 9.9%
Harrison 10.0%
Briarcliff 10.4%
North Salem 10.5%
Pelham 10.5%
Ardsley 10.7%
Chappaqua 10.8%
Hendrick Hudson 11.4%
Elmsford 11.5%
Byram Hills 11.6%
Hastings 11.6%
Portchester-Rye 11.6%
Somers 11.6%
Irvington 11.7%
Ossining 11.7%
Yorktown 11.8%
Valhalla 11.9%
Edgemont 12.0%
Croton-Harmon 12.3%
Tuckahoe 12.5%
Katonah-Lewisboro 12.8%
Yonkers 13.0%
Mount Pleasant 14.7%
Lakeland 15.0%
Peekskill 15.7%
Mount Vernon 16.1%

Source:
Search Results for Westchester County | NYSED
NYSED Special Education School District Data Profile for 2011-2012

Update:

Kris Harrison became superintendent in fall 2012.

As of May 25, 2015, Irvington High School’s enrollment in special education stood at 27% (see pages 2 & 17). So we’ve gone from roughly 12% of students in SPED (already very high) to 27% in the first 3 years of Kris Harrison’s tenure here. The new SPED population doesn’t consist of students who’ve just moved here; it consists of students who have always been here.

They’ve been classified as ‘SPED’ well after their early years in the district.

Something is wrong. It’s certainly true that some mental illnesses first appear in adolescence, and students in this situation may well need special education services.

But these numbers are too high regardless.

I’ve fact-checked the numbers with the high school principal twice. The Powerpoint figures are correct.

That leaves three possibilities.

a) The district is failing to identify learning disabilities and other issues when children enter school, as the district is ethically and legally required to do.

b) Parents are voting with their feet. They are moving their children to the protection and the direct instruction they hope will be provided by a special education classification. 

c) Parents are gaming the College Board. It’s extremely difficult to get extra time on the SAT for a child who hasn’t been in special education since the early years, but parents may not know that.

AND SEE:
Enrollment back to 1978

Email from a friend:

2 points – the new development across from Lyndhurst is not going to be another legend hollow – the 1st phase will only be 8 homes I believe – they’re slated to be $5 million homes so while they’re bringing young kids in, they’re also going to be paying high taxes I would imagine (and some may still put their kids in private school…. The 2nd phase is slated to be another 6 or 8 at the most (I don’t recall exactly). 14 homes is no legend hollow and again, they’re all very high end.

YEAR ENROLLMENT CHANGE
1977-1978 1,564  
1978-1979 1,461 -103
1979-1980 1,455 -6
1980-1981 1,391 -64
1981-1982 1,304 -87
1982-1983 1,217 -87
1983-1984 1,181 -36
1984-1985 1,130 -51
1985-1986 1,129 -1
1986-1987 1,124 -5
1987-1988 1,122 -2
1988-1989 1,100 -22
1989-1990 1,101 +1
1990-1991 1,147 +46
1991-1992 1,149 +2
1992-1993 1,197 +48
1993-1994 1,219 +22
1994-1995 1,284
Legend Hollow
children begin
entering IUFSD
+65
1995-1996 1,310 +26
1996-1997 1,395 +85
1997-1998 1,445 +50
1998-1999 1,618 +173
1999-2000 1,711  +93
2000-2001 1,744 +33
2001-2002 1,858 +114
2002-2003 1,937 +79
2003-2004 1,989 +52
2004-2005 1,998 +9
2005-2006 1,959 -39
2006-2007 1,961
middle school
opens (?)
+2
2007-2008 1,942 -19
2008-2009 1,888 -54
2009-2010 1,799
projected: 1848
overestimate: 49
-89
2010-2011 1,798 -1
2011-2012 1,756
correction: 1,747
(BEDS)
-51
2012-2013 1,799 (5/10/2013)
projected: 1,740
underestimate: 59
+52
2013-2014 1783  -16
2014-2015 1759 (6/8/2015)  -24
2015-2016 1774 (10/15/2015)  +15  $57,664.000  $32,505 per pupil

10% projected decline in enrollment over next 5 years (as of February 2013)

Sources for years 1977-1978 through 2009-2010:
Superintendent’s Proposed 2009-10 Budget March 24, 2008
(the ‘2008’ has to be wrong, but that’s what the document says)
and
2009-2010
Superintendent’s Proposed Budget
March 24, 2009 (ppt)

Enrollment as of 3/4/2013: 1,794
Enrollment as of Friday 5/10/2013: 1799

SEE:
Correcting Bob Grados
16 new houses, not 50

TRENDS OF PUBLIC AND NONPUBLIC ENROLLMENT GRADES K-12 NEW YORK STATE  1970-71 TO 2010-11

NonPublic School Enrollment and Staff
2010-2011

AND SEE:
Enrollment back to 1978

YEAR ENROLLMENT CHANGE
1999-2000 1,711
2000-2001 1,744 +33
2001-2002 1,858 +114
2002-2003 1,937 +79
2003-2004 1,989 +52
2004-2005 1,998 +9
2005-2006 1,959 -39
2006-2007 1,961 +2
2007-2008 1,942 -19
2008-2009 1,888 -54
2009-2010 1,799
projected: 1848
error: +49
-89
2010-2011 1,798 -1
2011-2012 1,756
1747 (BEDS)
-51
2012-2013 1,799 5/10/13
projected: 1,740
error: -59
+52

SEE:
Correcting Bob Grados
AND:
10% decline in enrollment projected
16 new houses, not 50

Enrollment as of 3/4/2013: 1,794
Enrollment as of Friday 5/10/2013: 1799
2011-2012 BEDS survey: 1747

Over the next 5 years:

  • K-5 enrollments “may likely decrease” by up to 60 students
  • 6-8 enrollments “may likely decrease” by up to 30 pupils
  • 9-12 enrollments “may likely decrease” by up to 85 pupils

TOTAL: 175 students

CURRENT ENROLLMENT (3/4/2013): 1,794
PROJECTED ENROLLMENT IN 5 YEARS: 1,619
PERCENT DECREASE: 9.8%

Source:
Page 13 | Enrollment Decline
Kindergarten through Grade 12 Program Delivery Study

Press release and study:
Kindergarten through Grade 12 Program Delivery Study

AND SEE:
Enrollment back to 1999-2000
16 new houses, not 50

Click to enlarge
Enrollment Projection 2.2013

in The Hudson Independent:

Meanwhile, in early March the Board of Education informally approved a recommendation from Harrison to suspend the current search for a new Main Street School principal based on a consultant’s building utilization study that may suggest closing the school based on projected declining enrollment.

“I think the combination of excess building capacity and projected declining enrollment will compel us as a community to have conversations about how we use our building assets going forward,” Harrison said. “This will take a good amount of time and focus, especially into the next school year, and does not necessarily mean that change is going to occur. But it will be a very significant challenge, and perhaps our most prominent focus next year.”

AND SEE:
16 new houses, not 50
Irvington Parents Forum at Yahoo

2012-2013 Budget: $51,156,000
Enrollment as of 5/10/2013: 1,799
Per pupil spending: $28,436

UPDATE 5/11/2013
Proposed budget: $54,070,000
Enrollment as of 5/10/2013: 1,799
Per pupil spending: $30,056
Source:
3.5.2013 – Superintendent’s Proposed Budget – (Powerpoint)

Percent increase in per pupil spending: 5.7%

AND SEE:
Enrollment back to 1977-1978
NOTE: Enrollment as of 3/4/2013: 1,794

I’ve just asked our Assistant Superintendent for number of employees:

We have a total of 310 employees, including 180 teachers.

2011-12 enrollment = 1756
2012-13 projected enrollment = 1740 (as presented at BOE meeting)

One employee for every 6 students.

AND SEE:
projected enrollment
16 new houses, not 50

2011-12 enrollment = 1,756
2012-13 projected enrollment = 1,740 (as presented at BOE meeting)

source: Assistant Superintendent for Business IUFSD

Next year’s budget: $51,156,000
Per pupil spending: $29,400


WHITE LINE BREAK
UPDATE 6/9/2013
Enrollment as of Friday 5/10/2013: 1,799
Per pupil spending: $28,436

AND SEE:
What people who do not have children in the schools pay
to educate the children of people who do
How we got here
Enrollment back to 1977-1978
4 is not 2
Budget vote
Core Knowledge: curriculum & property values
16 new houses, not 50
Enrollment back to 1977-1978